Tuesday, February 19, 2008

Rally faded into close ????

After a long weekend & worldwide rally......US markets were ready to stage their rally......

But...But...But......

Many things spooked the markets...namely

-$100 oil

-$24 jump in gold

Both renewed fear of inflation..thus fear of Fed not reducing interest rates.....

As they say.......rest is a flat close on Dow & S&P 500 but a weak finish for Nasdaq.

Today's tape may be discouraging to bulls...but this IS typical of a base formation...so NO real damage done to basing.

In my portfolio :

AGU rating 20/30 target $74.60

CSIQ rating 5/30 target $24.19

CMED rating 25/30..rated for a "breakout" with atarget of $58.66

LDK rating 75/95..target $44.77

MA rating 45/80 target $224.56

SOLF rating 55/90 target $21.74

In other stock :

JASO rating 40/45 target $20.57

AH HPQ ER was good UP $2.20..guidance good !!!

AH disasters were NTRI & CROX...down $5+++

STP reports before OPEN CC 8AM.......expect a good report which should help all solar.....

TSO & VLO were strong

DRYS & DSX were strong

FMCN,NTES ,SINA & SOHU were green......

GOOG,BIDU,ISRG,FSLR,RIMM,NYX,GS & AAPL were WEAK......

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

20 comments:

Doug said...

Hi Saleem,
I am excited about the LDK target update. I added a little CMED today and was happy with COIN's performance. It has really been a fatiguing market to play. I am ready for a couple of nice days with moves up, that stick! Thanks for letting me hang out at your place (blog). LOL...

standardshigh said...

Hi Saleem,

You are on the money with GS talk. I just read an article about China inflation climbing quickly and who is the one spreading the news? None other than the China GS branch. Got their dirty fingers in everything.
Crox were all the rage for awhile now no one is buying them. The kids are all buying the American doll series. We have a AD store up the street, unbelievable.

Standards

Stocks100 said...

Hi Doug,

We all feel the same way with this market.

@ least we have stopped going down..which IS very encouraging.

COIN was UP in a difficult close.

LDK showed lot of promise by staying "green"

CMED is ready for UP move any minute !!!

As we say...tommorrow IS another day....

Saleem

Stocks100 said...

Hi Standards,

GS analyst are all over the world including India...and they play the game well.

After financial stbilizes...I will buy GS....If you cant BEAT them...you JOIN them !!!

CROX will fade away from our memory SOON !!!

Saleem

madmax said...

SALEEM

What a disapointment for the close
I expected great things, to close red! UGH!!

I say green tomorrow

Smile
Madmax

Doug said...

Saleem,
You are so right. Tomorrow always promises Hope. Thanks for your positive attitude.

Anonymous said...

Saleem,

I have been following your thoughts for a while now, and agree with a lot of your picks, i.e. LDK, CMED, SOLF. I too own LDK & SOLF, but wanted to get your opinion on why you believe CROX will be gone soon? CC showed growing numbers both domestically and especially internationally, with big inventory numbers in hopes of keeping up with demand this year. Thanks for your time, and I appreciate all the information you give to everyone.

Haw

Doug said...

Hi Saleem,
Well the good news is that STP is not LDK! Now we wait for ER from LDK. Could you share your thoughts on LDK ER coming up in a few days? I wonder if the snow will have hampered their shipments/profits? Thanks for any insight...

Stocks100 said...

Hi Haw,

I do NOT follow CROX @ all.

I briefly glanced @ their ER and saw that their guidance IS below consensus.

I always give lot of weight to guidance......

CROX also came in-line for last Q.

CROX was a wall street fav for a long time...NOW it is NOT......

When an old fav does NOT BEAT or guide HIGHER.....then the stock goes through a fading process....which IS where it IS now.

If you follow CROX closely...then you should be able to decipher IF uptrend will resume shortly or NOT.

Good luck on your position in CROX,LDK & SOLF.

Saleem

Stocks100 said...

Hi Doug,

LDK will be fine...as they have already announced their Q1 guidance after the snow storm.

They have also given the range for Q4....

LDK have been extremely pro-active in making any adjustment because of weather or any other reason.

Re-read their last press release ...it addresses all the current & future guidance.

STP ER is "disgusting from all angle".....they should have warned before for Q4 ,Q1 & fy 2008.

STP will face many lawsuits for not warning.

Hoping that the dust setlles by close.......

Saleem

Doug said...

Thanks for your reply Saleem.

madmax said...

SALEEM

Good morning all:

THis looks to be a red day to me.
Gosh when do we get a break

Good luck all
Madmax

Stocks100 said...

Hi Madmax,

Hopefully...the close will look lot better !!!

Saleem

Bruce said...

I think I'll close my eyes. Is there any "positive/green" sector (so far)today?

Looks gloomy...but I have a feeling some smart money is going to come in later today and boost the market up.

Stocks100 said...

Hi Bruce,

Yes...I am counting on a "much better close"

GRMN,HPQ are the only green ..I follow.

Saleem

Doug said...

Saleem,
LDK is holding up pretty well. AGU looking nice. I feel pretty good overall. CMED not bad either. Patience could be the name of the game right now. I did pick up a little SDS to just to hedge a little. Small position though. Hope for a green end.

Doug said...

forgot to mention COIN is also looking good. Holding its uptrend. I am also keeping a watch on CCC as it is a good sector (Water). best of luck to all!!!

Stocks100 said...

Hi Doug,

Of all the solar stocks ..LDK is holding the-best ???

Market wants to go "green"....

Saleem

Doug said...

Yes Saleem,
the tape does feel like it wants to gravitate to green. Thanks for your take on the tape, I prefer yours over mine. LOL. AGU is a BUY!!! Steel stocks also look strong today. CCC no volume so Im leaving that one alone until I see better volume come back. SDS order form filled and ready to punch out at a moments notice. Best wishes...

Doug said...

I may eat my CCC last post. Its looking pretty good...