Tuesday, December 10, 2013

Indices closed down .20% to .33%.....

Indices closed down closing near low of the day.

S&P 500 @ 1802.62, low 1801.75

RSI @ 59.25

CMF @ 0.104

Internals were :

Down volume led by 1.68 to 1 in NYSE & 1.07 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 1.50 to 1 in NYSE & 1.84 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 26 in NYSE & 55 in Nasdaq

VIX UP 3.11% @ 13.91

Oil @ $98.51

Gold @ $1261.10

AH Futures UP

AH Asian Markets Down

AH Oil & Gold Down

About market, TAPE was weak & internals were weaker. The only positive was that Social Media, Internet, Gold & commodities stocks were strong. Looks like rotation is very much in play. Budget deal removes one major negative from traders mind. It is important to play what is working. Market verdict is more important than ones opinion.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

12 comments:

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

Rebought TXTR @ 37.62 given its strength today when it could easily have sold off on either rejection of the 50 DMA and/or market weakness. There just seems to be no sellers.

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

TXTR is seeing positive money flow....which shows interest in this stock.

Saleem

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Added 15% JKS @ $25.66.

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

That is a brave play on a technical basis. The false breakout of the 50 DMA troubles me. However, you have been so right on these stocks buying originally on that secondary in the $16-17 range. Good luck with your entry! :)

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Solar stocks are extremely volatile....but adding near lows has paid off each time.....

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

Bought some CLDX @ 22.36. This is going against the grain in many ways, but they've had such good trial results recently and I think the sentiment has washed out very far.

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

I think price is much better this time with CLDX....

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

A couple other observations:

1. GMCR is a possible super short squeeze into year end based on high profile shorts (Einhorn) and others they may have gotten into that short and also optimism about their new products for 2014.

2. The Baltic Dry Index ($BDI) reached another 3+ year high @ 2299 (+62). Given their huge debt loads, the bulkers are highly leveraged to the up cycle. SB DRYS BALT NM PRGN are the ones I'm following, but there are others too.

3. We may see a similar effect to the jobs report where we are sluggish/down in trading until the Fed announcement, and then rally no matter what.

4. Based on today's action, the index charts ($SPX/SPY and $RUT/IWM) are getting ugly with the small cap index testing support as we speak. I'm not sure it can hold, but I think the weakness could potentially be short-lived based on #3.

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

Oh, I forgot one more (which I'd been thinking about longer, just not this second):

5. I think WUBA has a great business model for the Chinese market but the first quarterly report disappointed many. It's the Chinese internet I'm watching most closely.

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Thanks for your detailed analysis of many issues facing TAPE....

I agree about GMCR..it is looking better for year end play ....they warned for this Q..but TAPE action is more than OK.....

WUBA is on my watch list.....

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

Haha, my own list convinced me to buy WUBA. Got @ 30.34.

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Good luck with WUBA,CLDX,TXTR..

Saleem