Sunday, October 2, 2016

All clear for new all time highs.......

SO we had a scare of biggest German bank facing solvency issues and its related impact on worldwide financial system, on Thursday, it looked scary, but by Friday, it became a non event, that is the reality of Wall Street.

Indices are all set to make series of new highs in a hurry.

Here is how indices are positioned in terms of new highs and RSI :

Nasdaq      .58% from new all time highs

S&P 500 1.16% from new all time highs

Dow       1.93% from new all time highs

Here is the RSI picture :

Nasdaq    59.64

S&P 500 52.48

Dow       50.64

As you can see from above 2 tables, Nasdaq is all set to make series of new all time highs. 

RSI is telling us that we are not overbought.

Technology has been a big winner last week, despite DB disruption.

Most sectors are participating in this rally.

Transportation & Pipelines are also making a move, on positive regulatory moves in Canada.

Gold is the only laggard, but, they could join the party also.

It is the jobs report on Friday, but by that time, we should be sitting on new all time highs in most indices.

Even IF we get a hot jobs report, probability of which is very high, setback could be temporary, and we could be on the UP move again on Monday.

Q4 is here which is the strongest and seasonality is favorable.

Stay with this market, and ignore usual noise of CNBC & Wall Street, both are the same avenues for perma bears and those left behind, in this strong rally.

Good luck with your own thesis and comfort level.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

4 comments:

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Despite all the turbulence last week, the portfolio was +0.07% for a YTD of +27.37%. ZYNE URI WLH AMZN had good weeks, TRIL DKS CNAT poor weeks. Ready for Q4! :)

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Good performance by your portfolio, you are getting close to 60% gain of 2 years ago....

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

The 67.3% gain was actually in 2013, the same year the small caps rose 37.0%. Looking back, I think this year is even better so far on a relative basis. I hope I can continue the good stock picking into year end.

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Just to correct something, 2013 was +66.3% for me (went back and looked at the post on your blog!).

Current Portfolio: TRIL, URI AMZN WLH SPLK QRVO, DKS SWN TNA, ZYNE, CNAT, cash 0.0%

Stocktrader