Wednesday, November 2, 2016

Indices closed down .43% to .93%....

Indices closed down.

S&P 500 @ 2097.94, low 2094.00, high 2111.76

RSI @ 31.59

CMF @ -0.190

Internals were :

Down volume led by 4.19 to 1 in NYSE & 2.38 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 3.22 to 1 in NYSE & 2.82 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk lows were leading by 87 in NYSE & 153 in Nasdaq

VIX UP 4.09% @ 19.32

Oil @ $45.34

Gold @ $1308.20

AH ER...FB Down 7.05%, FIT Down 29.66%

AH Futures Mixed

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil & Gold UP

About market, TAPE has been deeply oversold, based on all normal metrics, but, this is election fear gripping this TAPE. RSI is telling us many stocks are screaming buy, as they all have broken down technically. IF you have very good understanding of certain quality stocks, then it may be the time to buy or hold it, till sentiment change. Sentiment may turn into euphoria on November 9th. Markets on occasion, does not make sense, but, this is what we get in unpredictable election. Patience and conviction gets tested in these situation. Do not lose hope.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

8 comments:

joseph said...



Hi Stocktrader,

TRIL is down today. Do you know why it is down so much?

Thank you

Joseph

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Joseph,

Data released today showed safety concerns at higher doses. It seems very far overdone especially as the safety problems could indicate high efficacy, but the bullishness in the stock/company was very high also. I'm interested to see where it stabilizes. Today's action is disastrous so far--I've had to remind myself to breathe quite often this morning.

Stocktrader

joseph said...


Hi Stocktrader,

I know it is hard to see the stock go down so much. Yesterday the stock was up so much. Is it good to add the stock at this price? Thanks for sharing your thoughts.

joseph

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Joseph,

I think this is very overdone. There were buyers at $13-$14 right after open, so it's not like people immediately interpreted the new data as poor enough to gap it down. It became a waterfall selling event where margin calls, both long term and intraday ruled. From a valuation perspective, $80M market cap (and even lower EV) seems ridiculously low.

Stocktrader

joseph said...


Hi Stocktrader,

Thanks for sharing your thoughts. I am just watching the price movement. I will buy it when it settles even if it goes up a bit higher to average it down.

Thanks so much.

Joseph

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Joseph and all,

Was just reviewing the cash on the balance sheet--C$60M as of last reported quarter. Although they are spending on trials currently, it makes the current market cap of roughly $80M seem ridiculous given their prospects, progress, and intellectual property.

Guess I'll continue to hold and watch. I would love to add but it's even still ~8% of the portfolio and I'd have to reduce diversification to buy more, although I can't help but considering that.

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Trimmed SPLK @ 58.34

Given the volatility in technology stocks post-earnings and fears of lengthening sales cycles coupled with SPLK's high valuation, I thought it might be wise to trim for now.

Added to TRIL @ 7.60

I had to take advantage of the dip in some way.

Portfolio: TRIL QRVO WLH LYB FDX, ZYNE ACIA SPLK DKS, AKS, CNAT, 0.0% cash

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Good luck with more TRIL.

Saleem