Sunday, September 30, 2018

Indices may move higher this week.....

Indices have reacted and adjusted to Fed new policy statement issued on Wednesday. This week may see positive action in indices.

Here are RSI numbers for major indices / sectors:

Dow         62.13

XLE         60.51

S&P 500  58.99

Nasdaq     58.18

SOX         48.88

RUT         44.66

TAN         38.13

XLF         37.83

As you can clearly see that XLF was the major casualty of Fed policy statement, it is the weakest of all the monitored area.

DOW XLE S&P 500 Nasdaq are showing relative strength.

SOX is struggling big time and is the weakest in tech sector...

Russell 2000 @ 44.66 RSI may be the biggest bargain IF we rally from here.

TAN is reflecting ongoing price weakness and inventory build up in Solar sector.

Strongest stocks include SQ CRM NVDA BIIB 

MSFT XLNX AAPL are on the move higher

FB GOOG INTC are the weak ones

AMD may show some spark after pulling back on INTC news and 1 downgrade.

All in all we are looking much better plus we may get positive news on trade front with Canada and USA engaging in last ditch effort to come to an agreement, this may come as soon as Monday.

Good luck with your own analysis and comfort level.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem


6 comments:

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Last week's performance: +2.21% (YTD: +44.80%)
Notable Winners: LQDA BEAT PRNB MTCH VRNS
Notable Losers: CHGG VICR TRIL

A few winners in the portfolio, especially LQDA +41.9%, drove the performance this week. However, I have turned much more cautious on my growth stocks as the Fed continues to raise rates, and to this end I really adjusted my portfolio late in the week to reduce exposure. Right now I consider the breakout of the $RUT in August to a "false" one as we fell back below the breakout level first encountered as resistance in June and to where the 50 DMA has now risen. As long as this condition persists, I plan to keep my TZA hedge.

Current Holdings: TZA(26.0%), Cash(24.5%), MU CSOD VRNS BEAT VICR CHGG TRIL KRYS

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...


Hi Stocktrader,

Last week down .88%

YTD loss 30.80%

Saleem

explorer said...

Hi Saleem & Stocktrader,

Sold LULU calls & bought AMZN call

Explorer

Stocks100 said...


Hi Explorer,

Good luck with AMZN call.

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Explorer,

Nice on LULU--good luck on AMZN.

Stocktrader

explorer said...

Hi Saleem & Stocktrader,

Sold YMAB for 29.99

What’s the deal with NASDAQ today?

Explorer