Sunday, April 7, 2024

US stock market in higher volatility....

 US stock market has been an outstanding performer, impressive gain in Q1 in key Indices....

The question which IS in every investor / trader mind, did we borrow all the gains for 2024 in Q1?

Good question ....

My personal opinion is " NO "

This US market remains in a strong bull mode....

Higher we go, It will be more volatile...

Trading in new all time highs is NOT a run of the mill phenomenon

It brings fear of losing gains....thus renewed selling to lock gains...

BUT after couple of days of "spirited selling " strong bull market makes another high or attempts to...

Higher we go, higher the volatility...

Take advantage of volatility by having a buy & sell list ready on a weekly basis & execute

Keep RSI in focus for every buy or sell based on nothing else BUT relative value...lower the better...or less higher the better...

Here are the RSI for key indices :

DOW             47.21

Russell 2000 50.42

Nasdaq          52.96

S&P 500        55.91

Above RSI shows there is much more room to run in near term...

You make money on Wall Street by staying engaged in markets, however you play....

IF you do not stay in market, some of the biggest move in a single day will be missed completely.

US economy is in good productive mode, with more gains coming

AI is finally in everyone's mind now

How to play AI is becoming more of a challenge...

Old favorites like AI & PLTR are struggling as they are becoming smaller player in a fast moving and fastest growing AI segment.

Please buy best names in AI arena as this IS the game going forward.

Biggest gains, split will come from AI segment.

Try not to second guess what IS very obvious winners....NO they are not frothy @ all...create your own AI basket of stocks..& let It RUN....

Good luck with your own ideas about this market.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

4 comments:

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Last week: -3.24% (YTD: +4.39%)
Portfolio Leaders: ALAR
Portfolio Laggards: ZENV FLYW ENPH MTRN

It was a pullback week for the portfolio and the markets, with some companies getting hit especially hard as interest rates bumped up again on firm data. I did some good sells on weaker stocks in the portfolio, but bought back that same day on modest price declines - I should have stayed out because my reasons for selling were not for a 2% difference, and subsequent analyst actions have depressed those stocks much further in just a few days. I continue to learn lessons every day! As we look forward to earnings ahead, I will try to position new money in stocks I think can exceed expectations, but paying attention to positive relative performance.

Holdings: ALAR FLYW AGCO DCBO MTRN ENPH ZENV IONQ PSNL, cash 0%

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Sold ENPH @ 115.31 on expected disappointments in earnings and guidance
Bought SNAP @ 11.31 on positive recent price action and continued expected gains in Snapchat+ users

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...


Hi Stocktrader,

Last week Down 3.87%

YTD Down 5.72%

Saleem

Stocks100 said...


Hi stocktrader,

Good luck with SNAP....

Saleem