Shorts have resumed their assault on markets ...right after Fed speech....then CCF deal...needed time to regroup.....NOW back to easy money......yours & mine.....
I do NOT believe that Fed will put up with this decimation of equity.......
Expect markets to recover by close....as shorts do NOT want to wake UP to a rate CUT Monday AM.......
I will encourage traders to take a position in this selloff...which is way OVERDONE....
In my portfolio :
AGU is UP $1.20
MA is Down $12.80..MA should see support in $182 area...hopefully....I personally believe it has been taken unfairly down in concert with Capital One & American Express warnings...as MA is in transaction fee business...they do NOT extend credit or collect money....
CSIQ is Up 12 cents
LDK is UP 13 cents
AKNS is UP 80 cents.....
All the Ag stocks are flying ..as grains are hitting record highs on futures markets....
@11.20AM the following are green :
DELL,BX,POT,NYX,BG,AUY,ABX,IFN,DRYS,STP,NVTL,JASO.
RIMM was downgraded to hold by Cannacord with a target of $110...RIMM is down $5...
GOOG,AAPL,BIDU all lower........
Are we trading close to LOW or HIGH.......great investment is made when you BUY near LOW.....Yes...it is more volatile near LOW...but think DEC 2008...you will be more than FINE imho...
But..if you are NOT comfortable...then you are NOT ready...so stay in "DON'T BUY ZONE"
Please do your OWN due diligence.
BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.
Saleem
24 comments:
Blog really good today Saleem. Lots of great advice and things to consider. TRA is breaking out nicely with the AG report. CHTT getting safe money sent to it. Others on my watch list: FTI, CERN, ONXX and STE for safe money to drift into Medical stocks for the recession camp. IH either watching or in all stocks mentioned. Good luck to all.
What are some good cheap AG plays?
Hi Doug,
Thanks for your appreciative note about my BLOG content.
Did you notice CPHD..tape....
Keep posting new ideas from IH...
We all need to CHANGE with sectors...IH does a very good job of finding great stocks.
Saleem
Troy,
Here's a low priced AG play...SEED.
This stock is very volatile... for a true day trader it's a dream...but you need to babysit this stock! Currently trading around $10 but I suggest waiting till its in the mid-8s to $9, no more than $9 before you buy it. I then suggest you sell it between $10 and $10.50, as it loves to get up to that level and then fails to break that resistence level.
Just a suggestion NOT a recommendation!
SALEEM
thanks my friend for the advice on my PC clean up problem--I installed ccleaner-The PC is now cooking along fine--it hums. I will do it once per day form now on.
MA is now lower in price at $101.70
AAPL is tanking today
The SOLAR stocks still all what to GO higher. AKNS is a star here as is YGE.
Madmax
Hi Madmax,
I am happy that your PC is running fine.
Try to do defragmentation NOW...you can still use your PC while it will work in the background.
MA has tested its support @ $180.01...hopefully we have seen the LOW..
Solar should go UP once the market recovers.
Saleem
Hi Saleem,
Really enjoying your blog. Would appreciate your current take on SINA, and MCD. I do not think MCD deserved downgrade by Friedman Billings, esp. with MCD coffee plans and world growth. I am currently holding both and my DD points to upward movement. Seems the market is driving most stocks down with any negative news from any analyst.
A good day to all.
Ken (kdibeers)
Hi Saleem,
Great blog today. So I asked the local mailman if he has seen any recessions hanging around the neighborhood. Typical blue collar guy, knows lots of people. No he says, nothing like they say on the news. They don't know what their talkin about he says. Saleem, my business was slow in Dec, but as of Jan 1 2008 the money is flowing in like a waterfall! Any evidence your way? Thanks
Standards
Hi Ken,
Do NOT worry about MCD & SINA...
They are both oversold.....
MCD has support @ $52 area...
SINA has support @ $40 area...
I am more tilting towards MCD story as a great stock to keep...
I use to be a Store Manager of MCD in Canada.....
Saleem
Hi Standards,
Canada is booming....
Toronto area house prices went UP 6%++ YOY as of last month.....
Hedge funds rules in US markets...
They even know when rate cuts will come....
So...we all wait for Fed next cut.
Saleem
Here is an idea: EDU. It can explode whn it wants to. It has a violent history of running up fast, sometimes almost out of nowhere. IH has been hanging in the trade just being patient and biding their time, waiting for the move up. Here is IH information for entries, targets and stops. This is IH update from last nights report:
EDU 01/05 Asc Bse 83.50 +1.88 83.32 99.95 397K 750K 86.11
Tapped the 50 day EMA on the low for the second session and then bolted higher. Making a higher low and building for the breakout move. Looking good Mr. Kotter.
By the way, the reason I posted EDU is because it has been knocked down pretty hard today and would likely recover quickly to previous trading levels at least. I like to find stocks that IH is still in but the price is well below their initial entry. Also, on my last post, in case there is any confusion, the date is when they entered the trade, the first number is where it closed yesterday, the 2nd is their entry point, 3rd is target and 4th is stop loss which changes as IH calls it. Best wishes to all...
Saleem,
I thought you might find this interesting, for another take on market intra day action. This is IH mid day report: Talk soon, Doug...
After the fast drop early, stocks rebounded midmorning but are backsliding w/NASD testing the early low over the past 15 minutes. SP500 held above its session low that marked its August/Nov closing lows. NASD is holding its August closign low at 2451. Definitely under pressure after falling back from near resistance, but not breaking the next support level yet. Once more trying to put in a bounce off of these levels ahead of the afternoon session. NASD -32 (-1.28%), SP500 -10.3 (-0.73%), DJ30 -178 (-1.38%); SP600 -3.58 (-0.96%); NASD 100 -28.5 (-1.46%). A/D -1.5:1 NYSE, -2:1 NASD. Some beleaguered financials are positive (C, JPM, WFC, GS) trying to hold the line & lead the market back from this weakness. Because the indices bounced off of that next support we decided to wait on entering a lot of downside positions given most stocks & indices opened lower. We will see how this latest bounce attempt plays out into the afternoon session.
Hi Doug,
I think.... markets are trying to make a double bottom today.....
They are discounting just about the worst case economic scenario today...
Posted FWIW
Saleem
Yes Saleem, they are just absolutely trying to crush the markets and crush the average Joe. I am still in my three stocks and just trying to be patient with the hooligan Elite, who are trying to rob their own secretaries of their 401k values to profit their shorting with no uptick to control ravage attack.
BB implied he would lower interest rates if needed and he would be monitoring the economic situation very closely.
It seems as if the MMs are colluding to drive the market violently down to force BB's to act sooner rather than later.
I expect a 50 basis interest rate very very soon!
Hi Bruce,
I concur 100% with your thesis.
Monday before open ..rate cut????
Saleem
Well Saleem, even though they were down, I liked the way my three held up anyway. I made one small trade with CF, bought @ $112.50 and sold @ $113.90. Other than that, I am just holding for the next leg up, without much more pain I hope.
SALEEM
Let do a survey How many of us think we will get a rate cut on Monday!
I vote YES
Madmax smile
Hi Doug,
If you have a good trading strategy..then your comfort level will always be high.
You are trading in a very logical & rational manner...with daytrading focus......& $$ are speaking loud & clear....
Saleem
WOW... What was that!!
I use to be a stockbroker in the 80's but never watched stocks intraday like I do now. I also never remember such volatility so either my memory is bad or something has changed...probably both.
I'm sold on IH Doug. That together with decision point, fly on the wall and stockconsultant are my steering wheels. I'll find out if I crashed on Monday. I also bought EDU as I remember Hsu saying to buy before earnings AND IH has it. If it explodes, I'm in good company.
Will figure out what I have later this weekend. Just know my kids ended up with LDK, IMA and STP in their ed. accounts and are fully invested. So much for diversification and keeping cash on the sidelines.
I had a sneaky feeling last week was the time to load up on the financials. Did you notice ABK?
Sold it this morning at $18.40. If that's not enough I bought it back at $22 to stop it from going up. It worked!
I'd like to ask about sharing your IH subscription Doug. Even if I took over your cost I'd come out ahead. If you think there's a way to do this please call me: 720-564-1719. If it's not possible, no problem.
Off to pick up the kids and forget about the market.
Wishing you all well!!
B
Hi Mad,
my vote is Yes for an announcement on Monday. I just hope that the market responds favorably and doesn't sell off, saying it was already baked in. With the GS short pressure, who knows what the direction will be. I just know that the markets like to act with little common sense and a lot of contrary to common sense action. (one would think that a rate cut would rally the market?) Either way, I will continue to hold the positions that I am down in, in the hopes that 3 weeks straight down can not continue. I didn't like that IH opened a position in SDS just an hour or so before the close, but they could just be hedging their long bets. We will see.
Hi Beatrice,
The problem with sharing IH and the way that it truly works for you, is to have the intra day email alerts to buy or sell. If you would be in my trust, to email you and God forbid, I happened under a bus or I had an appointment with Mina (he's a Doctor LOL) or some other situation where I was away from my computer, you would not be benefiting fully from the subscription and that could end up costing you dollars, especially if it was a target hit or stop loss. IH does routinely change their targets and takes many of those trades off before they actually hit the original goal, which is good because that just means that they are being prudent when necessary and protecting what gains they felt were enough given those market conditions. Just some things to consider. We can continue this discussion as we go.
DOUG and all
Hello--Did you all see NYX and STV and YGE up big for lousy day.
JCramer says buy AAPL.
I too like hearin about what your investment letter is telling you to buy and sell.
Saleem is still IMHO hte best stock picker.
Peace to all
Madmax
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